Value Bet Finder
The model's win probability for each side, built from probable starters and money-vs-ticket splits, compared against the book's vig-free price. Positive edge means you're getting a better number than the model says the side is worth.
17 of 17 games show a positive edge.
VGK @ VAN
Sun, Oct 4 · 8:00 PM CT · Rogers Arena
Best: VAN +190 · +2% edge
Away
Vegas Golden Knights -230
-2%
Model 64.9% · Fair price 66.9% · EV -0.07u
Home
Vancouver Canucks +190
+2%
Model 35.1% · Fair price 33.1% · EV +0.02u
Away favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
NJ @ NYI
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:30 PM CT · UBS Arena
Best: NYI +120 · +2% edge
Away
New Jersey Devils -142
-2%
Model 54.3% · Fair price 56.3% · EV -0.07u
Home
New York Islanders +120
+2%
Model 45.7% · Fair price 43.7% · EV +0.00u
Away favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
DAL @ NSH
Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena
Best: NSH +114 · +2% edge
Away
Dallas Stars -135
-2%
Model 53.1% · Fair price 55.1% · EV -0.07u
Home
Nashville Predators +114
+2%
Model 46.9% · Fair price 44.9% · EV +0.00u
Away favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
CAR @ PHI
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena
Best: PHI +110 · +2% edge
Away
Carolina Hurricanes -130
-2%
Model 52.3% · Fair price 54.3% · EV -0.07u
Home
Philadelphia Flyers +110
+2%
Model 47.7% · Fair price 45.7% · EV +0.00u
Away favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
FLA @ ANA
Sun, Oct 4 · 7:00 PM CT · Honda Center
Best: ANA +110 · +2% edge
Away
Florida Panthers -130
-2%
Model 52.3% · Fair price 54.3% · EV -0.07u
Home
Anaheim Ducks +110
+2%
Model 47.7% · Fair price 45.7% · EV +0.00u
Away favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
MTL @ PIT
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM CT · PPG Paints Arena
Best: PIT +105 · +2% edge
Away
Montreal Canadiens -125
-2%
Model 51.2% · Fair price 53.2% · EV -0.08u
Home
Pittsburgh Penguins +105
+2%
Model 48.8% · Fair price 46.8% · EV -0.00u
Away favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
UTA @ NYR
Sun, Oct 4 · 5:00 PM CT · Madison Square Garden
Best: NYR -135 · +2% edge
Away
Utah Mammoth +114
-2%
Model 42.9% · Fair price 44.9% · EV -0.08u
Home
New York Rangers -135
+2%
Model 57.1% · Fair price 55.1% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
CGY @ SEA
Sun, Oct 4 · 7:00 PM CT · Climate Pledge Arena
Best: SEA -135 · +2% edge
Away
Calgary Flames +114
-2%
Model 42.9% · Fair price 44.9% · EV -0.08u
Home
Seattle Kraken -135
+2%
Model 57.1% · Fair price 55.1% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
WPG @ DET
Sun, Oct 4 · 12:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena
Best: DET -125 · +2% edge
Away
Winnipeg Jets +105
-2%
Model 44.8% · Fair price 46.8% · EV -0.08u
Home
Detroit Red Wings -125
+2%
Model 55.2% · Fair price 53.2% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
OTT @ TOR
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena
Best: TOR -120 · +2% edge
Away
Ottawa Senators +100
-2%
Model 45.8% · Fair price 47.8% · EV -0.08u
Home
Toronto Maple Leafs -120
+2%
Model 54.2% · Fair price 52.2% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
UTA @ CBJ
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Nationwide Arena
Best: CBJ -108 · +2% edge
Away
Utah Mammoth -112
-2%
Model 48.4% · Fair price 50.4% · EV -0.08u
Home
Columbus Blue Jackets -108
+2%
Model 51.6% · Fair price 49.6% · EV -0.01u
Away favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
LA @ SJ
Sat, Oct 3 · 9:00 PM CT · SAP Center at San Jose
Best: SJ -115 · +2% edge
Away
Los Angeles Kings -105
-2%
Model 46.9% · Fair price 48.9% · EV -0.08u
Home
San Jose Sharks -115
+2%
Model 53.1% · Fair price 51.1% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
WSH @ TB
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Benchmark International Arena
Best: TB -180 · +2% edge
Away
Washington Capitals +150
-2%
Model 36.4% · Fair price 38.4% · EV -0.09u
Home
Tampa Bay Lightning -180
+2%
Model 63.6% · Fair price 61.6% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
SEA @ EDM
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Rogers Place
Best: EDM -205 · +2% edge
Away
Seattle Kraken +170
-2%
Model 33.5% · Fair price 35.5% · EV -0.10u
Home
Edmonton Oilers -205
+2%
Model 66.5% · Fair price 64.5% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
CHI @ BUF
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM CT · KeyBank Center
Best: BUF -230 · +2% edge
Away
Chicago Blackhawks +190
-2%
Model 31.1% · Fair price 33.1% · EV -0.10u
Home
Buffalo Sabres -230
+2%
Model 68.9% · Fair price 66.9% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
BOS @ MIN
Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00 PM CT · Grand Casino Arena
Best: MIN -205 · +2% edge
Away
Boston Bruins +170
-2%
Model 33.5% · Fair price 35.5% · EV -0.10u
Home
Minnesota Wild -205
+2%
Model 66.5% · Fair price 64.5% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge
STL @ COL
Sat, Oct 3 · 8:00 PM CT · Ball Arena
Best: COL -285 · +2% edge
Away
St. Louis Blues +230
-2%
Model 27% · Fair price 29% · EV -0.11u
Home
Colorado Avalanche -285
+2%
Model 73% · Fair price 71% · EV -0.01u
Home favored on the moneyline; home ice edge